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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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there's a new tracking poll out. it shows the president aahead of romney 49% to 48%. that's a three point swing in his direction from last week. before we get to politics, i want to bring in meteorologist bill karins to give us the latest on the storm. bill, where sandy is taking a slight left turn, right? >> she started the turn. this is the amazing part of the storm, history-making part of the storm. what's incredible is this is still a hurricane towards the end of october, and not only is it still a hurricane, it looks like it strengthens before landfall. we have 10 hours to go before landfall. this may not be a hybrid storm at landfall. it may be a plain, old hurricane. look at what i'm talking about on the screen. i circled the eye of the storm. you can still clearly make out the eye, and there's new thunderstorms of convection firing up on the northwest corner of the eye. if that holds together to landfall, we will have a hurricane landfall. those are semantics. it doesn't really matter. that's for the history books. regardless, you have hurricane-force winds on
there's a new tracking poll out. it shows the president aahead of romney 49% to 48%. that's a three point swing in his direction from last week. before we get to politics, i want to bring in meteorologist bill karins to give us the latest on the storm. bill, where sandy is taking a slight left turn, right? >> she started the turn. this is the amazing part of the storm, history-making part of the storm. what's incredible is this is still a hurricane towards the end of october, and not only...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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according to the latest polling data the romney surge is continuing nationally and in swing states across america. let's begin with the gallup survey showing that once again, governor romney is leading the president by a comfortable margin. 51 to 46%. that number is reflected in the daily ra rasmussen tracking po. also from rasmussen romney has a four-point advantage 50 to 46 in the key wing states. here with reaction author of the price of politics bob woodward is with us. before we get to the polls, bob, i wanted to ask you in light of reading your book cover to cover and he really enjoyed it. >> thank you. >> sean: and i have not enjoyed all your books by the way, some are pretty tough on people i like. in all seriousness in light of what you concluded with the president on economic issues and the grand bargain and opportunity missed. here we have this father at the top of the show tonight telling this story, we learnd that they requested help, americans under fire they were denied these requests. guy had to literally go against orders to save people and for seven hours he went there f
according to the latest polling data the romney surge is continuing nationally and in swing states across america. let's begin with the gallup survey showing that once again, governor romney is leading the president by a comfortable margin. 51 to 46%. that number is reflected in the daily ra rasmussen tracking po. also from rasmussen romney has a four-point advantage 50 to 46 in the key wing states. here with reaction author of the price of politics bob woodward is with us. before we get to the...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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FBC
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may i finish, please and so it is all of the polls, the nationwide vote is moving toward romney, but it's not moving in the swing states, which seems odd. it means that they are not swing states. lou: it's important to put it in perspective. these political, really political viagra. bottom line, all these surges are artificial. more than four days. get a new poster. >> i think he should have lynen dunham on your show to talk about that. >> that's terrific. lou: i would never argue with such a metaphor. thank you. >> that's hard. lou: you know what, what can i say. moving along. back to you know. i think that is not exactly accurate. there it still problems and polling. by definition it is a science, sometimes an art, but the romney sears's real one. it has taken on states that matter. colorado, nevada, ohio. right now that came is concluding very quickly. this is that are still open, nevada, colorado, ohio. tightening up. they decided. lou: is there momentum? is that momentum at the very least? whenever the effect may be from hurricane sandy? was that interrupted? i'm not suggesting
may i finish, please and so it is all of the polls, the nationwide vote is moving toward romney, but it's not moving in the swing states, which seems odd. it means that they are not swing states. lou: it's important to put it in perspective. these political, really political viagra. bottom line, all these surges are artificial. more than four days. get a new poster. >> i think he should have lynen dunham on your show to talk about that. >> that's terrific. lou: i would never argue...
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does-- >> maybe. >> religious groups and so forth and maybe the pew poll and pew has got romney up by about 5 points, i believe. charles: would it be at this point then last second, rick santorum was the one who gathered the votes in the primary process. would it be a net plus or net negative if he jumped in at the last second to try to help push those voters? >> i think it would be a net plus. charles: because he's been-- i don't know where he's been. if this is the case, now would be the time he'd step up. >> especially since pennsylvania is the one of the states that romney now thinks that they might have a chance of taking, but just to repeat, back in 2004, the kerry campaign thought in ohio because they had sort of dominant control, cuyahoga county, near cleveland, democratic strong hold was locked. in fact, because the evangelicals voted strongly for bish for cincinnati out to the west virginia border, they offset that cuyahoga advantage and took ohio. stuart: evangelicals, and a block, very interesting. >> we'll see. stuart: always interesting, thanks, dan. and we're-- what doe
does-- >> maybe. >> religious groups and so forth and maybe the pew poll and pew has got romney up by about 5 points, i believe. charles: would it be at this point then last second, rick santorum was the one who gathered the votes in the primary process. would it be a net plus or net negative if he jumped in at the last second to try to help push those voters? >> i think it would be a net plus. charles: because he's been-- i don't know where he's been. if this is the case, now...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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polls tighten amid a new narrative mitt romney's momentum may not be real. and the president taking credit for positive economic aiders. and what will january's looming tax increases do to those signs of life? and a measure on the ballot in michigan could hand unions their biggest victory in years. will they make collective bargaining a constitutional right? >> welcome to "the journal editorial report." wifeless than two weeks to go, president obama and mitt romney hit the campaign trail in florida, ohio, wisconsin, colorado, and virginia. polls continue to show the race in a dead heat nationally, and too close to call, in no fewer than ten swing states but the obama campaign and its media allies are questioning whether mitt romney's recent momentum is real. joining the panel his week, dan henning gary, james freeman, dorothy rabinowitz and kim strassel. kim, tell us how real the romney surge is. >> look, paul, i know two weeks is one side increasing its advantage in both the national polls and the swing state polls. that's romney. we have seen money flowing
polls tighten amid a new narrative mitt romney's momentum may not be real. and the president taking credit for positive economic aiders. and what will january's looming tax increases do to those signs of life? and a measure on the ballot in michigan could hand unions their biggest victory in years. will they make collective bargaining a constitutional right? >> welcome to "the journal editorial report." wifeless than two weeks to go, president obama and mitt romney hit the...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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MSNBC
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the poll shows two point ahead for governor romney in florida, that within the margin of error. my team and i were struck with looking at the lines of people early voting in that state today. >> well, those lines are really going to be the indication of how this campaign is going to go. we've had gangbusters early voting turnout in florida. about two million people in a week. because of early voting, democrats have an edge and ballots cast of about 104,000 over republicans. republicans usually do well at mail and absentee ballots. democrats dominate early voting. but guess what? the legislature, rick scott shortened the early voting days. and relative to the early voting hours we had in 2008 in south florida, they essentially cut them by 22% or about 24 hours. so it's going to make a difference. what we're going to see on election day now is a lot of those folks who probably would have early voted, they're going to show up on election day and cast ballots. so the question is how many of these people are actually voting for obama? how many are voting for romney? obviously we don'
the poll shows two point ahead for governor romney in florida, that within the margin of error. my team and i were struck with looking at the lines of people early voting in that state today. >> well, those lines are really going to be the indication of how this campaign is going to go. we've had gangbusters early voting turnout in florida. about two million people in a week. because of early voting, democrats have an edge and ballots cast of about 104,000 over republicans. republicans...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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governor romney is leading the president in nearly every national poll. now it's time to examine what's going on in the battleground states. they hold the key to this election. joining us now we have doug and pat. guys, good to see you. >> good to say you. >> sean: there's the rasmussen swing poll, 50-46. here's the deal. minnesota, a 3-point race, michigan dead even, wisconsin dead even, pennsylvania close, ohio dead even, virginia close. what are we to make of this. >> oregon is moving to. >> sean: oregon is not going too to go with romney. >> i believe florida, north carolina, probably virginia have been con so consolidated for ro. new hampshire, leaning romney, the midwest, moving romney. the big question today is whether the news of the cleanup from the hurricane will be the one advantage that obama has to show him -- to show leadership. >> sean: look. i think the president is doing the right thing, but let's be honest here. it's a week before election. what is he going to do? >> whatever he can. >> whatever he can. with governor christie' governo, l
governor romney is leading the president in nearly every national poll. now it's time to examine what's going on in the battleground states. they hold the key to this election. joining us now we have doug and pat. guys, good to see you. >> good to say you. >> sean: there's the rasmussen swing poll, 50-46. here's the deal. minnesota, a 3-point race, michigan dead even, wisconsin dead even, pennsylvania close, ohio dead even, virginia close. what are we to make of this. >>...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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there are two other polls, both rasmussen and fox, that have romney up by two. it's margin of error. it's close, and it's going to come down to turn out the last undecided voters. i think why romney will win virginia is because he is the one that's going to reverse these sequestration cuts. they're going to devastate the military and cost us $200,000 jobs. the president has been a bystander and won't do that. he is the one with the plan to create jobs and we've got 23 million people that don't have jobs nationally and eight -- excuse me -- $16 trillion in debt. that's what virginians are concerned about and why there's been this momentum towards governor romney. the mishandling of the -- no transparency. 45 days after the fact. it's a great concern. either the president gave an order that was disobeyed by the secretary of defense to provide support in benghazi or he didn't, and i think people want answers before this election on that, so that's what's going to determine the outcome. we got a great ground game, and i expect governor romney to win a close election
there are two other polls, both rasmussen and fox, that have romney up by two. it's margin of error. it's close, and it's going to come down to turn out the last undecided voters. i think why romney will win virginia is because he is the one that's going to reverse these sequestration cuts. they're going to devastate the military and cost us $200,000 jobs. the president has been a bystander and won't do that. he is the one with the plan to create jobs and we've got 23 million people that don't...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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CSPAN
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guest -- host of this poll shows mitt romney being ahead six points -- host: this poll shows mitt romney ahead by six points in florida, another one showing obama up by five points. [laughter] guest: same weekend? there are two polling firms out there, that there have been real questions about. going back to the point that andrew made, you have to make an assumption that some point. is turnout going to be like it was in 2004? which was even between the parties? or will it be more like 2008, with seven points for the democrats? my preference is to look in between. but what the poll has been doing in particular is looking more at what it was in 2008, which political pollsters will tell you, it will not be at that point. it needs to be somewhere near where the republicans were in 2008. host: the annual crystal ball contest from "the washington post." jim cramer, predicting that mitt romney will get 98 electoral votes, the president, 440? he is the only one predicting a landslide for the president. guest: he is the only one predicting that. i am a democratic partisan, i would love to see tha
guest -- host of this poll shows mitt romney being ahead six points -- host: this poll shows mitt romney ahead by six points in florida, another one showing obama up by five points. [laughter] guest: same weekend? there are two polling firms out there, that there have been real questions about. going back to the point that andrew made, you have to make an assumption that some point. is turnout going to be like it was in 2004? which was even between the parties? or will it be more like 2008,...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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now, you see it day after day, poll after poll, breaking romney's way. what that means is that the president is going to have a lot of work to do in order to get his base out and voting to try to overcome the late advantage of momentum. megyn: romney has a lead on foreign policy and national security, which i typically also been an area in which president obama was dominating. not only has not eroded, but he is 10 points behind romney in that issue. i would like to ask you, because rather than look at the numbers, advantageous to the democrats, and so it is in this race. he says that obama leads 62% to 32%. among the early voters in ohio. one in three ohio voters has are to cast their ballot. one third of the ohio electorate, romney has a lead among those who still plan to vote, but that is a big gap to make up. >> yes, it is, but it example with an example. the other thing is this. any given republican votes at a higher frequency than any given democrat on a per capita basis. that is especially true this year because of an and enthusiasm gap. that means
now, you see it day after day, poll after poll, breaking romney's way. what that means is that the president is going to have a lot of work to do in order to get his base out and voting to try to overcome the late advantage of momentum. megyn: romney has a lead on foreign policy and national security, which i typically also been an area in which president obama was dominating. not only has not eroded, but he is 10 points behind romney in that issue. i would like to ask you, because rather than...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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there has been only one poll, rasmussen poll that showed romney leading there and others show him behind? >> i'm not sure how confident i am. when you are making predictions in close states. you can't be confident to be correct. i said in my article i'm fully i may be wrong in some states. that is where enthusiasm can make a difference. we know that rom is not well as running as well with white non-college voters. but there is something we saw on fox news as election returns were coming in and that is increased turnout in small town, rural voters, evangelical voters that won the state for george w. bush even though john kerry got his margins that he wanted out of the big central cities and out of the university and college towns. i think that is factor that hasn't been studied much by reporters but a lot of people have been active on the ground and the crowd of the fire marshal estimated 30,000 on friday was a good indicator of strong enthusiasm. barack obama drew fewer people in ohio than john mccain drew four years ago. >> megyn: charlie cook says its tough road for romney on electoral
there has been only one poll, rasmussen poll that showed romney leading there and others show him behind? >> i'm not sure how confident i am. when you are making predictions in close states. you can't be confident to be correct. i said in my article i'm fully i may be wrong in some states. that is where enthusiasm can make a difference. we know that rom is not well as running as well with white non-college voters. but there is something we saw on fox news as election returns were coming...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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FOXNEWSW
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i bet that all three of those polls show romney ahead. then they are waiting weighting up the number of democrats. >> bill: you mean obama ahead. >> excuse mio bama ahead. >> bill: start again. i want to be precise. start again. >> i bet all three of those polls when they came out of the field the raw data showed romney ahead. they are then giving more weight to the democrats, less to the republicans. in order to mirror the turnout that, in fact, happened in 2008. because they're assuming it will be the same turnout in 12. >> bill: let me stop you. when they call up hi mildred, how are you doing? and they take it down. you say that quinnipiac, which did the polling for the "new york times" all right. the raw data, without any curve or anything like that, showed romney winning in all three states, ohio, virginia, and florida. but then the boys came in and started to weight it up to 2008 levels? >> correct. and if we had the same high black and latino young person turnout in 12 that we had in 8, those polls would be right. >> bill: okay. bu
i bet that all three of those polls show romney ahead. then they are waiting weighting up the number of democrats. >> bill: you mean obama ahead. >> excuse mio bama ahead. >> bill: start again. i want to be precise. start again. >> i bet all three of those polls when they came out of the field the raw data showed romney ahead. they are then giving more weight to the democrats, less to the republicans. in order to mirror the turnout that, in fact, happened in 2008....
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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it tells you more than i think the polling itself. mitt romney in virginia. the president begins his blitz. all nonstop travel from here on out. we'll be right back. ♪ [ male announcer ] it's time for medicare open enrollment. are you ready? time to compare plans and see what's new. you don't have to make changes, but it's good to look. maybe you can find better coverage, save money, or both. and check out the preventive benefits you get after the health care law. ♪ medicare open enrollment. now's the time. visit medicare.gov or call 1-800-medicare. ♪ i'd like to thank eating right, whole grain, multigrain cheerios! mom, are those my jeans? [ female announcer ] people who choose more whole grain tend to weigh less than those who don't. multigrain cheerios get on e-trade. set up a real plan. frank! oh wow, you didn't win? i wanna show you something... it's my shocked face. [ gasps ] [ male announcer ] get a retirement plan that works... at e-trade. >>> i guess we're going to say it's eight battleground states now since none is going to north carolina. wh
it tells you more than i think the polling itself. mitt romney in virginia. the president begins his blitz. all nonstop travel from here on out. we'll be right back. ♪ [ male announcer ] it's time for medicare open enrollment. are you ready? time to compare plans and see what's new. you don't have to make changes, but it's good to look. maybe you can find better coverage, save money, or both. and check out the preventive benefits you get after the health care law. ♪ medicare open...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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CURRENT
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the poll has even better news for president obama. it gives him 50% to mitt romney's 46%. when it comes to early voting, this is amazing. 60% of coloradoans have already cast their ballots. they estimate of those early voters president obama has captured 51% of the vote to mitt romney's 43%. so for the latest on the ground from colorado, we're going to go to denver, and "the war room"'s" own sheetal l dhir. she's on assignment there in denver. sheetal, thanks for joining us. >> hi. >> jennifer: tell us a little bit what you're seeing on the ground. first of all how important is colorado to the obama and romney campaigns, can you tell from being there? >> yes absolutely. you can tell that both the obama and romney campaigns are just pouring money into this state. every time you turn on the radio, you hear one of their voices. every time you turn on a television, there is an ad. it's insane. there are signs everywhere, and people are energic and excited about the campaigns. >> jennifer: are the folks that you're meeting are they aware of how special they are how vital their
the poll has even better news for president obama. it gives him 50% to mitt romney's 46%. when it comes to early voting, this is amazing. 60% of coloradoans have already cast their ballots. they estimate of those early voters president obama has captured 51% of the vote to mitt romney's 43%. so for the latest on the ground from colorado, we're going to go to denver, and "the war room"'s" own sheetal l dhir. she's on assignment there in denver. sheetal, thanks for joining us....
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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in north carolina mitt romney has a 2-point lead. this is again today's polls. he is also ahead in florida, but by actually less than a point. as for the president, he is ahead in these seven swing states but extremely small margins. as you can see, no more than three points in any of these states, all within the margin of error, but the momentum actually seems to be moving in the president's direction. let's take a look at virginia. we're seeing a trend there that is interesting, and playing out in several swing states. the president was up early, right? this was the 47% video, and he did well -- he was doing well at that point, but romney made his big jump after that first debate, and that's where we crossed, but now you see that romney is coming back down and the president is actually retaking the lead after that. so the good news is that there does seem to be a shift in that momentum. now, what -- the next version of this is, so that the president has -- after he has gained the lead, we know we have got more than just trend lines to go on. we have early voti
in north carolina mitt romney has a 2-point lead. this is again today's polls. he is also ahead in florida, but by actually less than a point. as for the president, he is ahead in these seven swing states but extremely small margins. as you can see, no more than three points in any of these states, all within the margin of error, but the momentum actually seems to be moving in the president's direction. let's take a look at virginia. we're seeing a trend there that is interesting, and playing...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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MSNBC
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however, a usc poll shows the president up 14 points, 54% to romney's 40%. we're seeing a lot of lean blue or solid blue states is romney overperforming mccain's numbers all over the place. that is why this idea, the battlegrounds are not shifting, not moving. we are seeing the movement in romney's direction in the nonbattleground states. what does that mean? well, that's why so many people believe that there is a possibility for that split between the popular vote and the battlegrounds. it's a possibility, frankly, though, it is not a probability. all right, hurricane sandy is forcing wall street to shut down today. the first time in 27 years that the new york stock exchange has been closed due to weather. cnbc's becky quick is here for "the market rundown." it's kind of surprising. did that happen because they shut down the subway and public transportation? >> you know, that was the first of many stages that went through it. wall street is down very close to zone "a," which has been a mandatory evacuation area. it is not in zone "a," but there was concern
however, a usc poll shows the president up 14 points, 54% to romney's 40%. we're seeing a lot of lean blue or solid blue states is romney overperforming mccain's numbers all over the place. that is why this idea, the battlegrounds are not shifting, not moving. we are seeing the movement in romney's direction in the nonbattleground states. what does that mean? well, that's why so many people believe that there is a possibility for that split between the popular vote and the battlegrounds. it's a...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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MSNBC
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there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are right. the overwhelming majority of the time when someone holds a lead of this magnitude, this consistently, they wine up winning. and, you know, there are reasons to think the polls could be off. it's tough to talk to people on cell phones. assumptions about turn out are more important than ever. but, yeah, you're right i think the polls have to be wrong at this state level. >> polls ask who are you going to vote for but there's data around polls who do you think will win and that's extraordinarily predictive. why is that question so predictive when we make people into mini anthropologists. >> it's what people are hearing. people are hearing stuff about romney. the average person, you know, has an idea that the president is still pretty popular. that makes them think that, you know, most voters or swing voters will tilt a little more i
there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are right. the overwhelming majority of the time when someone holds a lead of this magnitude, this consistently, they wine up winning. and, you know, there are reasons to think the polls could be off. it's tough to talk to people on cell phones....
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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MSNBC
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and a new npr poll has romney up 48-47, again, one point. but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a 12-point lead in the battleground states, where it matters. with a deadline. and you...rent from national. because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle... and go. you can even take a full-size or above, and still pay the mid-size price. this is awesome. [ male announcer ] yes, it is, business pro. yes, it is. go national. go like a pro. >>> i will come on "morning joe" and i will shave off my mustache of 40 years if we lose any of those three states. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was david axelrod, famous for his mustache. he's with the obama campaign, sounding very bullish on their chances, obama's chance of carrying michigan, minnesota, and of course, pennsylvania. these three states haven't been given much time or attention by the media or the money spenders until lately. that's because the romney camp and their cohorts in the super pac world announce they're now going to start advertising there. they're pou
and a new npr poll has romney up 48-47, again, one point. but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a 12-point lead in the battleground states, where it matters. with a deadline. and you...rent from national. because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle... and go. you can even take a full-size or above, and still pay the mid-size price. this is awesome. [ male announcer ] yes, it is, business pro. yes, it is. go national. go like a pro. >>> i will come on...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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FOXNEWS
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eye 175
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romney is whistling past the graveyard if he has so much confidence. the polls are emergencying. there should not be a difference between two or three points in any state and they are coming together, local and national polls. right now you could call it a close race nationally in the battleground states, it is fairly --. >> right before we start "the five," we have a chit chat to check with each other, and we listen to the sound bite getting prepared, revenge for what? >> that is the first thing i thought. what did mitt romney do to voters they need revenge? i think obama is asking for revenge himself because mitt romney challenged him and god forbid someone challenge it. the thing about the dramatic shift from 2008, this positive message of hope and this dark angry message of revenge i say you don't need to look at the polls but the two messages. one is very, very angry, which tells me he is very worried. and the other is confident. this is the best romney has looked. he seemed reagan-esque. >> a great opening when president obama said that on friday to come back right away and
romney is whistling past the graveyard if he has so much confidence. the polls are emergencying. there should not be a difference between two or three points in any state and they are coming together, local and national polls. right now you could call it a close race nationally in the battleground states, it is fairly --. >> right before we start "the five," we have a chit chat to check with each other, and we listen to the sound bite getting prepared, revenge for what? >>...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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romney has florida sewn up, in my opinion. >> oh, my god, come on. >> sean: in virginia the latest poll shows romney ahead. rasmussen shows romney ahead by two in ohio. i would say it's dead even but it's also pennsylvania, wisconsin, it's michigan, and pennsylvania -- minnesota. no matter what they try to say today, there's no way that chicago -- the obama campaign in chicago thought that seven or six days before an election they were going to have to fight in minnesota. they just -- it never entered their mind, and now they're having to do that, and the fancy footwork is very admirable, but i don't think it will -- i don't think it will take them too far. however, the storm i think you'll see president obama's approval rating which has not gotten above i think 47 or 48% % almost his whole presidency. i don't think it matters. >> sean: in all fairness, it would have been nice if he responded the same way to benghazi and answer questions. >> oh, stop. that's so unfair. >> sean: it would have been nice if he responded to the calls for help and the requests for security and telling us the
romney has florida sewn up, in my opinion. >> oh, my god, come on. >> sean: in virginia the latest poll shows romney ahead. rasmussen shows romney ahead by two in ohio. i would say it's dead even but it's also pennsylvania, wisconsin, it's michigan, and pennsylvania -- minnesota. no matter what they try to say today, there's no way that chicago -- the obama campaign in chicago thought that seven or six days before an election they were going to have to fight in minnesota. they just...
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the gallup poll has governor romney and head. politico shows president obama with a one point advantage over governor romney in that poll. guest: most of the polling is converging on a close race. the gallup number with the five point advantage for governor romney is not far outside of that consensus. typically when you get down to the end of the campaign, you have the resolution of doubt. people are finally making up their mind. people go voting before election day. so the polling should get more consistent when you get this close to the election. if you look at all of the polling, you see it varying with in the normal margin for error, which is typically in the 3% or 4 percentage point range. host: this is physguy on twitter. guest: i disagree with that. we are in the bit business of promoting unbiased information. i think that social justice is best served by giving everybody in the population regardless of their income or education or race or age or experience in politics and equal opportunity to have their voice heard. pulli
the gallup poll has governor romney and head. politico shows president obama with a one point advantage over governor romney in that poll. guest: most of the polling is converging on a close race. the gallup number with the five point advantage for governor romney is not far outside of that consensus. typically when you get down to the end of the campaign, you have the resolution of doubt. people are finally making up their mind. people go voting before election day. so the polling should get...
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because the reality there is that it has improved. >> john, every credible poll shows romney behind in ohio. do you see it plausible he takes that state? >> the plausible scenario for mitt romney in ohio and other battleground states that are very close like florida or virginia, colorado, that sort of thing, the intensity, the enthusiasm for romney, the zeal of his electle electoral rat, te is built around enthusiasm and what the likely voters screens produce. what we're seeing nationally in our poll today is a 48%/47% race. there's a bit of a mystery to that. it's part art and part science. a surge for change, which is the montra that romney's adopted in the closing days. >> don't you guys ever change, never. thanks so much. >>> will the election be remembered for one key event that changed the tide? a new poll suggests that might be the case. "weekends with alex witt" live continues after this. [ mom ] 3 days into school break and they're already bored. hmm, we need a new game. ♪ that'll save the day. ♪ so will bounty select-a-size. it's the smaller powerful sheet. the only on
because the reality there is that it has improved. >> john, every credible poll shows romney behind in ohio. do you see it plausible he takes that state? >> the plausible scenario for mitt romney in ohio and other battleground states that are very close like florida or virginia, colorado, that sort of thing, the intensity, the enthusiasm for romney, the zeal of his electle electoral rat, te is built around enthusiasm and what the likely voters screens produce. what we're seeing...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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if that poll were to hold up, can governor romney get to 270 without ohio and how much easier is it for the president to get to 270 with ohio? let's start with the president. he's at 237 right now, electoral college votes, leaning or strong for him, 206 for romney. if the president were to take ohio it puts him at 255, the easiest way for the president to get over the top, stay in the midwest. take wisconsin, take iowa, and the president's over the top. let's just say for the sake of argument he takes wisconsin but governor romney gets the state of iowa on election day. the president would still be at 265 with ohio and wisconsin, then he just needs five more. new hampshire would give him four so that's not big enough. but obama campaign increasingly thinks the latino vote in nevada would do it. that would put the president over the top there. if he didn't get nevada for some reason, the president's options would be colorado, virginia, new hampshire or florida. the president with an easier path. what about governor romney. let's leave this one blue. can governor romney get there if ohio
if that poll were to hold up, can governor romney get to 270 without ohio and how much easier is it for the president to get to 270 with ohio? let's start with the president. he's at 237 right now, electoral college votes, leaning or strong for him, 206 for romney. if the president were to take ohio it puts him at 255, the easiest way for the president to get over the top, stay in the midwest. take wisconsin, take iowa, and the president's over the top. let's just say for the sake of argument...
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Nov 2, 2012
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of romney advantages is being ahead in the polls. >> yeah. >> stephanie: romney's pollster said obama has are political environment problem, he has an intensity problem, image problem, and a ballot problem, and it will all add up to a chal edging tuesday next week. >> what is he talking about exactly. >> obama has an image problem? this from the romney camp. >> stephanie: right. new surveys in which obama held a solid lead in ohio, eight point lead in wisconsin, but romney aids insisted things are on the right track. >> of course she didn't. of course we are. of course we are on the right wrack. >> stephanie: we feel we are in a very good place and this race is exactly where we wanted to be. and their political director said right now their firewalls are burning. >> firewalls don't burn they prevent burning from getting through. >> i assumed there was a wall of fire. [ mocking laughter ] >> oh, my god. >> stephanie: there has been little movement since his first debate surge. several pollsters are suggesting that mitt romney is claiming the polls are wrong across the board. i imagine
of romney advantages is being ahead in the polls. >> yeah. >> stephanie: romney's pollster said obama has are political environment problem, he has an intensity problem, image problem, and a ballot problem, and it will all add up to a chal edging tuesday next week. >> what is he talking about exactly. >> obama has an image problem? this from the romney camp. >> stephanie: right. new surveys in which obama held a solid lead in ohio, eight point lead in wisconsin,...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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the polls are very close here between president obama and mitt romney, and when you look at the obama strategy, clearly ohio is playing a bigger role than florida is, though obviously the hope is to keep florida is president obama's column. the message is his closing messag message, that he will be saying to these people here, you may be frustrated with the pace of change, but stick with me, you know we're going to the right direction. my economic policies are working, and you know what you're going to get with me, not so much with mitt romney. i can tell you this is a very enthusiastic crowd. we've been traveling where the president has been going for the last few days, and i can tell just that this is a crowd that already is very excited. and also i'm sure it doesn't help -- it's beautiful here, 82 degrees and sunny. we've seen people, and there's some people behind the camera that you can't see, they've been doing the wave, they've been yelling four more years, and it's still hours before president obama will be here, fred. >> is there any indication there that the crowd is made up
the polls are very close here between president obama and mitt romney, and when you look at the obama strategy, clearly ohio is playing a bigger role than florida is, though obviously the hope is to keep florida is president obama's column. the message is his closing messag message, that he will be saying to these people here, you may be frustrated with the pace of change, but stick with me, you know we're going to the right direction. my economic policies are working, and you know what you're...
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Oct 30, 2012
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a lot of polls have romney up a point. >> it does not matter. those are weighted on who is likely to vote. there's some questions on that. the polls that matter is ohio, florida and virginia and, you know, even wisconsin and iowa as well. those are the ones that if obama can hold the midwest and that's what he is trying to hold. if he can hold that there's no way romney can win. >> it looks like romney will take ohio, florida and virginia. >> that's a dream. >> if he does that and he takes colorado too and iowa, all of those things are likely, i think that romney is going to win the election. romney only needs 269 to win. in one of those and it could happen, if you get a 269 it goes to the house and they line up state by state and they win because of all the states. one small point romney only needs 269 to get over the finish line. i think that he is going to get there. >> i think that's your wish there. >> thank you guys are coming in. >>> coming up the devastation hits one of the colleagues hard. the affects that it is having on a hometown. wo
a lot of polls have romney up a point. >> it does not matter. those are weighted on who is likely to vote. there's some questions on that. the polls that matter is ohio, florida and virginia and, you know, even wisconsin and iowa as well. those are the ones that if obama can hold the midwest and that's what he is trying to hold. if he can hold that there's no way romney can win. >> it looks like romney will take ohio, florida and virginia. >> that's a dream. >> if he...
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a brand new cnn poll shows florida, mitt romney is ahead by one point. in colorado, an independent polling called arg shows mitt romney up there as well. that's the state of the race. couldn't be tighter. if there isn't much more campaigning to be done over the next few days that's where the states will essentially stand. and this campaign was put on a forced indefinite hiatus as both sides were starting to make their closing arguments. on the democratic side here's what's going to end up being the closing argument for the obama campaign. this ad is reportedly set to run in florida, iowa, ohio and virginia. in here, it's just you. no adtion, no debates, just you. so think about this -- mitt romney's plan rolls back regulations on the banks that crashed our economy. medicare, voucher. catastrophic cuts to education, millionaires who get one of the largest tax cuts ever, while middle-class families pay more. that's what mitt romney wants to bring more. remember that when you go here -- >> i'm barack obama and i approved this message. >> no more ads and no
a brand new cnn poll shows florida, mitt romney is ahead by one point. in colorado, an independent polling called arg shows mitt romney up there as well. that's the state of the race. couldn't be tighter. if there isn't much more campaigning to be done over the next few days that's where the states will essentially stand. and this campaign was put on a forced indefinite hiatus as both sides were starting to make their closing arguments. on the democratic side here's what's going to end up being...